Re: paths how much to factor in for each distance
Posted by XL Emerson on October 20, 1999 at 14:31:52:
In Reply to: Re: paths how much to factor in for each distance posted by HP on October 20, 1999 at 10:53:56:
: : : : : : the announcement about BC Sheets which was to
: : : : : You're right. At the end of the week, friday or so, we will start providing BC coverage. TGAB
: : : The paths simply tell you where the horse ran on the turn. This is already factored into the number so you don't have to 'deduct' anything. If a horse runs wide, he gets credit for it (his number will be lower and better). A quick example, if horse A and horse B run a dead heat carrying the same weight, and horse A runs 5 wide and horse B runs on the rail, horse A will get a better, lower number. In handicapping, if you are looking at two horses that are pretty close, and one horse saves ground every race (1w) and the other loses ground every race (4w), I might give a little more weight to the horse that saves ground, but this is one of many handicapping factors. Hope this helps a little. You should also read JB's recent post on this. HP.thanks HP YES i understand thats its already factored in the race that already has run but i need to know about the up coming race and the beaten lenghts that should be taken in to account for distance say 5,6,7,1m,1-16.ect.its very important so canyou please help me with this matter..HP
: I'm not sure I understand this, what do 'beaten lengths' have to do with 'paths'? With the 'paths', you should just use this info to determine who is going to save ground on the turns and who isn't. Don't know what 'beaten lengths' has to do with it. HP.
: For any kind of practical race analysis HP is correct. On a more esoteric level, the shorter the distance, the greater the effect. This is simply a function of length(approximately 10 feet),in relation to distance. One length is 10/3960= .0025 for 6f and 10/6600=.0015 for a mile and a quarter. All this means is a horse going 7 wide at 6 panels pays a greater penalty than a horse going similarly wide at a route. XL