Re: Dollar Bill
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Posted by Mark O'Keeffe on May 16, 2001 at 15:14:09:
In Reply to: Re: Dollar Bill posted by irish1 on May 16, 2001 at 15:00:48:
: The answer is that there are not many similarities between Dollar Bill and Pine Bluff or Hansel. Pine Bluff was the best horse in the Derby the year Li'l E. Tee won. He had beaten the Derby winner once or twice before. Pine Bluff simply didn't run well on Derby day though and so it made sense that he would win the Preakness.
: Hansel was a little different. He was a horse that ran a blistering figure before the Derby but came up empty on Derby day. It was foreseeable that he could win the Preakness if he ran back to his prior figure. He had not previously beaten the Derby winner, Strike The Gold, however.
: How does Dollar Bill fit in? He had neither of these patterns. He hasn't beaten the Derby winner before or many of the other quality horses. He also has no "winning" figures to run back to. To win, he literally needs to give the best performance of his life. Even then, he may need a few of the other runners to have off days.
: I hope this helps.
Thank you very, very much.
For the record,I have always felt that Dollar Bill would indeed need to run a new top to win the Derby and, now, the Preakness.
DB sort of reminds me of Alysheba, who hadn't done anything before the Derby, but on Derby day he ran one of the most impressive races I have ever seen. DB aint no Alysheba, and indeed may keep getting into trouble. But I gotta believe this horse is sitting on a big one, given the fact he opened as the favorite, and ended up a clear 2nd choice. Thats a lot of money bet "on the come".
Again, thanks very much for your reply.
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