Re: Tru-Line for TGJB: Follow-Up Question


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Posted by nicely nicely on May 22, 2001 at 10:00:01:

In Reply to: Re: Tru-Line for TGJB: Follow-Up Question posted by Ian Meyers on May 21, 2001 at 14:38:58:


: At the risk of sounding like an idiot..., I must be missing something. Where are the data files available (or do we type in horses for each race ourselves, (which is fine by-the-way but I haven't been able to do anything but load prepared date files into the program)).
At present, the program needs a data file to run. If you open the data file with any text editor - NOTEPAD or WORDPAD included with windows, you'll see the basic structure and be able to follow it to type in any names you like.

: An amplification of my previous question, how long should it take you to handicap a given race? While my results with the sheets have been quite good over the past year, I think I take too long to handicap a card. It generally takes me about 30-45 minutes per race to really get a read, making it virtually impossible for me to cover two tracks a day (which I've been trying to do lately).

It varies greatly from person to person. For handicappers who like to find hidden patterns - reactions to certain distances, days off, track surfaces, trainer changes, trainer patterns, shipping, trainer-jockey combinations, etc... you can spend quite a bit of time. There is an awful lot of information available on every sheet. You can also spend just as much time formulating a betting strategy to each race. In my case, I'm looking for situations where the plays are more obvious. If I scan through a 12 horse field where most of the horses are between 2-3 points from each other, I'll pass. I won't even bother to look at the Morning Line. Of course, I'm fortunate to have a larger pool of races to play. Even so, my philosophy is if you have to struggle, in any way, to find a play in a race, it's not worth it. If I can't spot a chance of a play in one quick run through, I'll go on to the next race. If I do look at a race, it's one where it's clear you can throw out most of the horses and are left with no more than 3 contenders. I also have a few rules like "don't bet a fast one number filly" or "don't bet a 1st timer going long". I don't underestimate the "value" of finding overlays, but it's not my style. You can't overestimate the importance of picking winners - at any price. There are times when an 8/5 shot is an overlay. This approach has opened me to constant ridicule - e.g. "chalk eating dog" - but, I've been very successful and been able to keep a healthy supply of kibble.





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