Re: Exaggerator (1061 Views)
Posted by:
ringato3 (IP Logged)
Date: May 02, 2016 11:18PM
Mike,
Fair point, for sure.
But as I am sure you know, horses develop this time of their 3 year old seasons as they are maturing. I lean to reading Exaggerator as a nice developing horse, gradually getting better and I love his 3 year old season. 7 furlong sprint, middle move route conditioning run, bingo 3rd time out.
If you are against Nyquist, like I am, you have to read him as a bit flat-lined and a bit of an early developer. I am not so sure on that read, but I am going with that. I can't take the favorite at 7/2 with the 6th or 7th fastest horse, betting him on the come.
As for losing to Brody's Cause, they were 2 year old races. Night and day to 3 year old races.
just not a Mor Spirit fan, as you know as you/I went back forth on him 2 months ago. BAck then you liked him. I think he is grindy and NOT the typical BAffert type horse. I like betting Baffert with horses that have early run, where he gets them to stay the distance. Wouldn't shock me if Mor Spirit won, and I may use him as a "C" off of giving him a mulligan for the wet track race.
as for Danzig Candy, I have to use him. I don't like getting wired by a horse I know has talent and will make the lead in a relatively paceless 20 horse race with a horse who figures 20-1 in multi-race bets. He may run off, he may not get the distance, but he is a good gamble.
Rob