Re: Exaggerator (1097 Views)
Posted by:
ringato3 (IP Logged)
Date: May 03, 2016 12:31AM
Mike,
I am a bit worried he is better on wet tracks.
But of all the people on this board, very surprised to see you say that the end of the San Felipe, losing 2nd, would worry you (if you liked him). You are fond of saying "race track fast" or pointing out how much better a horse ran that somebody that beat him (because of things like trip or pace). Exaggerator middle moved with a sort of dumb/crazy harness type run in the SAn Felipe. Then tried the winner and got leg weary late and got passed by a complete suck-up move by Mor Spirit. To me eye, he ran WAY better in that race than Mor Spirit (not even close IMO). Much worse trip, middle moving from last into a decent pace. Mor Spirit just sat back and made one move later after Exaggerator made his run.
Two things bother me about Exaggerator. He MAY be better on a wet track (hard to say for sure either way, but could be). And the relative price in a race that I think is pretty wide open. He figures 6-1 or so, possibly a tad shorter. I have a view the race is particularly wide open this year, so in that case 6-1 is a bit light. While I think Exaggerator is the better horse and more likely winner, if Mor Spirit is 15-1 and Exaggerator is 6-1, not sure Exaggerator is that much better.
Rob