Re: Exaggerator (1060 Views)
Posted by:
richiebee (IP Logged)
Date: May 03, 2016 06:56AM
ringato3 Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> There is antidotal proof again this year that the
> California 3 year olds are an extremely strong
> group and Florida again no good.
Rob:
Is History a science?
Check out my timeline:
May 2015, Louisville, Ky: Cal based horses run [i]uno, dos, tres[/i] in the
2015 Ky. Derby
Summer 2015, Spendatoga, NY: Exaggerator and Ralis ship cross country and take
the Saratourist Special and the Hopeful.
October, 2015, Lexington Ky: Nyquist wins BC Juvie.
November 2015, Delta Downs: Exaggerator takes the Delta Jackpot, beating east
coast and midwest 2YOs.
Winter/Spring 2016, Ozone Park, NY: Cal based maidens come scary close to
winning both the Gotham and Wood (what would graded stakes committee do if both
these races were won by maidens?)
April 2, 2016, Hallandale, FL: Nyquist ships cross country and easily defeats
Nowaymen.
April 16, 2016, Lexington Ky: Collected (Baffert) wins the Lexington Stakes.
Cal based maiden One More Round completes the exacta.
I was trying to think of a sports analogy to describe this Cal dominance; the
one which came to mind is actually a racing analogy... this kind of looks like
what happens when Euro turf runners ship to the U.S.
The Cal horses Nyquist, Exaggerator and Mor Spirit are the top three in
Haskin's Derby Dozen.
Before The Guru Jerry Brown weighs in, my opinions on the Cal contenders (all
contingent on post position):
1)Nyquit: has the lead at the eighth pole, then we see if he has had enough
preparation. I don't think so.
2) Exaggerator: Did he peak in the SA Derby? Carries the extra weight of small
Richiebee future wagers (pool 2&3). If you like him, you gotta hope that Kent
D.is not the "Jockey Full of Bourbon", at least before the race.
3) Mor Spirit: A square price on the trainer who has been OK in the Derby.
Never worse than second. Numbers make him competitive.
4) Danzing Candy: Absolutely agree, Rob. The price is right and he won't be
hard to find.
Oaks Day entries out today. Seminar and Derby Day entries out tomorrow. Let the
games begin