Joe B,

"getting the 1 1/4" is old school thinking. How many horses not bred for and seemingly unlikely to "get the 1 1/4 miles" have won in the last 15 years? Many is the answer.

Fast horses win races. Will take a fast horse over a plodder any day of the week.

Brody MAY not be a plodder, but he has to take a step forward to win. Tough for me to take him at what will be a relatively short price when he has to move forward, has to come from well out of it, and will be amongst 15 other horses who all want to do that.

I don't "love" Danzig Candy, I think Exaggerator is the most likely winner of the Derby. But Danzig Candy "ran off" once on a wet track, which had a race with MUCH more early speed in it than this Derby will have. Not sure I can call him a "run off type". He can win this race with a TG 1, if he makes the lead. At 20-1 that is value to me. (I give him a 10% shot to win, roughly what I would give Brody's Cause).

Rob