Elimination factors that I use:

1) Must have at least 3 preps as a 3yo

Don't fit: ESSENCE OF DUBAI, JOHANNESBURG, SAARLAND, PROUD CITIZEN, MAYAKOVSKY, CASTLE GANDOLFO, CRIMSON HERO

2) Sub-6 jinx (relying on data from a past post)

Don't fit: CAME HOME, HARLAN'S HOLIDAY, REQUEST FOR PAROLE, MAYAKOVSKY

3) Too late of a start to their career as a 2yo or not enough development

Don't fit: BUDDHA, MEDAGLIA D'ORO, EASY GRADES, WILD HORSES

4) Coming in off a layoff (I'm using March 23rd (Spiral) as a cutoff)

Don't fit: ESSENCE OF DUBAI, PERFECT DRIFT, REQUEST FOR PAROLE

Out of who is left, I will wait until the PP draw and odds for my final selection. Here's the remaining ones in order of Beyer (last race):

WAR EMBLEM 112
SUNDAY BREAK 104
PRIVATE EMBLEM 100
= = = = =
(I CONSIDER THE REST OF THESE TOO SLOW)
BLUE BURNER 96
LUSTY LATIN 91
WINDWARD PASSAGE 91
OCEAN SOUND 90
STRAIGHT GIN 88
USS TINOSA 87
IT'SALLINTHECHASE 82

Does anyone have any knocks against WAR EMBLEM, SUNDAY BREAK, or PRIVATE EMBLEM as far as breeding, figure pattern, etc. that is backed up by even a small sampling of data? I know that WAR EMBLEM is a dreaded front runner, but how about the other 2?

Based on some of the other posts, SAARLAND looks like a logical choice to run 2nd/3rd.



24/M/IN... Anyone is welcome to e-mail me at racing@flashmail.com.