Re: race 6 pim redboard (763 Views)
Posted by:
boardedup (IP Logged)
Date: May 22, 2016 06:02PM
I'm trying to figure out what the "controversy" is over this race? I used TG as my only resource for the race and it seemed like the 7 was a must use? What am I missing?
From my notes for yesterday,
Off-PR-X (7*3, 5*2, 9*3) w/ the pair actually being a half or quarter point better than before if I'm not mistaken?
Bounced off the big effort last time out but had ~month and a half off to freshen coming into this one. Also Had ran very well over track listed as "gd" in the past.
The only one entered in the race that had run a better number than the two back 5 1/2 was the 2, and he just moved from a 12-4, an 8 point new top. Huge chance of bouncing, imo.
The 7 was also getting weight from the 2 (2lbs)
The 3 looked tough if he moved forward off pairing 6's, and the 8- 3rd of form cycle had paired 12's so the assumed forward move still wouldn't be enough to beat the 7 or the 3 if one or both showed up and ran their race.
I had him as a must use at a price based on TG only, even if he ran a 7 (highly likely) there was a decent chance that would have been good enough. Many here are WAY "sharper" than myself, if I can find him not sure why anyone could take issue w/ TG for this race?
Or put another way, it's not possible to say anything other than TG sheets had this one looking like a very solid play especially when considering post time odds