Re: Bloodhorse Belmont Preview. (1058 Views)
Posted by:
P-Dub (IP Logged)
Date: May 27, 2016 12:28AM
bobphilo Wrote:
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> The Bloodhorse just ran an article claiming there
> is a "historical" advantage to to early speed
> horses in the Belmont. I think this notion of race
> specific data is nonsense. Ask any statistician.
> The sample size for a race run just once a year is
> way too small to be significant unless one goes
> way back which then gives you an unrepresentative
> sample of what's currently the case. There is
> nothing magical about one particular race that
> defies the laws of probabilities of all other
> races.
> Yes the lack of early speed in this years Belmont
> gives speed horses an advantage but that is true
> for any race from $5,000 claimers to the Classics.
The Preakness has had many closers hit the board, often at nice mutuels.
P-Dub