Re: Bloodhorse Belmont Preview. (724 Views)
Posted by:
P-Dub (IP Logged)
Date: May 28, 2016 07:15PM
bobphilo Wrote:
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> Too small sample sizes lead to unpredictable
> results in the long run, regardless of the prices
> paid by the insignificant sample. No reason to
> believe the results will continue.
> I recall that someone once put out a book based on
> race specific data on the Derby. Filled with such
> nonsense that a horse must have at least 3 preps
> as a 3YO to win the race. Wonder what happened to
> that theory now?
Its about odds Bob.
Closers at good odds have hit the board many times in the Preakness. We can go back and forth about how many races are significant.
Your Derby example I agree with, but has no bearing on this discussion.
P-Dub