I think the Pizza Man is the most likely of the chalks in that series to lose. This isn't the goal the Arlington Million is. He's been off for 4 moths and his last wasn't great. He gets the figure for being wide but never gained in the stretch. Besides there are 4 horses in here within a point or 2. Za has been mentioned but the one I like is Pleuven. If he was still in the Chad Brown barn people would be all over this one. Sure a pair up doesn't get it done but 3rd off the layoff and looking at Turtle Bowl's sire figures from 4-5 he could improve 3 points, so why not tonight at anything close to 8/1.