Re: race 7 delmar (1081 Views)
Posted by:
bellsbendboy (IP Logged)
Date: July 17, 2016 05:47PM
Listed 'Cap for sophomore ladies going nine panels, green, always a difficult handicapping endeavor; especially with a grade two, at a mile for same, 200K, next Saturday.
On paper, pace appears genuine if a bit class challenged and the trip will work against them off the hedge.
Your choice HOW UNUSUAL gets a favorable weight shift from favored CHEEKABOO with both coming out of the Grade Two Honeymoon in Arcadia last month. While her ground loss loaded figure is attractive, she did not do any running. The last three eights in a slow 37 seconds and she made zero impact at some 35-1.
For me, this is a difficult heat and will play a pair in the late four. RIRI need only be fit to take these down. Off since November and while nominated to the San Clemente, clever conditioner chooses this spot. Works are more than acceptable, nine furlongs not so much. WELL CAUGHT was 7-5 going short, green, and fell on her face at the break losing all chance. Previous trainer quoted after maiden score as she would max out at seven furlongs, yet Simon runs her nine! Also nominated to G2 next week, at the mile, getting more weight clearly conditioner rolling the dice.
Maiden next is loaded and may add another colt or three but convinced Law Abiding Citizen will be a stakes winner before long and will single on the big ticket.
Eddie Read depends on the pace (as all two turn heats) but expect/hope Victor will not let Raffie walk the dog. Any of FLAMBOYANT's last four wins this IF the pace is legit. Both Peter's and Paulo's horses are players.
Last a crapshoot, after all a barn single in the last leg of a juicy pick six often significantly trumps purse money this meet and few as aggressive this spot as RBH jr. Puts his boy up and blows out like a stake horse while cutting back. Puype's 5yo looks awful on paper but merits respect on his layoff and subsequent works, BK thinks he will win and his #'s crush these and Spawr and TB3 are possible. Tough sequence. bbb