30% was pretty optimistic. Agreed. Not to make excuses, but i threw that post up in a hurry as they reached the gate for the 8th. What i really meant was that i figured i had about a 1/3 chance to beat Songbird and was pretty confident in the other legs. Turns out i only hit 2/4. And i didnt have the 6 in the last leg even on my back up ticket for that race, so i would have been singing the blues even if i had beat Songbird.

Im going to look at the pick 6 sequence for tomorrow and start over.