Re: Saratoga Morning Line (994 Views)
Posted by:
Fairmount1 (IP Logged)
Date: August 20, 2016 08:29PM
What scares me BO is that based on the tweets I've read the last few weeks and his words to me, he actually might believe he correctly created the morning line on the horse rather than realizing he is actually trying to predict what the odds on each horse will actually be at post time. #incompetence
I'd venture an easy guess that at least 15 people on this board could do a better job than Stone at making the m/l. I don't worry too much about the m/l being way wrong but he is way off very often. He has some formula that he told me shows me he is doing better than the national average for morning lines......guessing he doesn't realize he is at the premiere meet of the year where just above average doesn't cut it. Average fans deserve better. As for most of us here, we know most often what the odds will likely be on the races we study closely.
More importantly, as I've told FrankD off board, Chicago horses are the last horses to bet shipping just about anywhere for almost a year now. Almost all of them are tossouts for the win.