Re: The Gamblin part (846 Views)
Posted by:
jma11473 (IP Logged)
Date: August 10, 2016 08:53AM
Furious Pete Wrote:
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> TempletonPeck wrote: This is an *incredibly*
> important point: Frank saved ~35% by playing
> structured ABC tickets rather than Cavemans. In
> this game if you can find 2% you're a genius, so
> who can afford to give away 35%?
>
>
>
> However it's still a question of strategy because
> nothing comes for free. If you're going for the
> big jackpot or the sequence is particular tough
> there would be situations where "caveman style"
> could be the winning approach, because what you
> lose by playing ABC is the possibility to hit two
> of your least regarded contenders (and probably,
> many others "least regarded contenders"). It might
> be expensive and you might feel that you're paying
> a lot for a little by playing caveman, but I don't
> think one can be sure that those 2 % extra edge
> never lies in buying those expensive combinations
> of horses that very few "shrewdies" have. Maybe
> even there would be situations where "teaming up"
> with other players to play one huge system would
> be the right move. "50 systems" can be expensive
> too. So I guess you're right that there are 1000
> situations which will demand different strategies,
> and I think a good bettor is one who have a lot of
> these in his or hers arsenal. Also, remember that
> this is a competition and the value is always in
> playing in a way that makes room for hitting (a
> lot of) combinations that (relatively) few others
> have. This is where one applies creativity.
I think it's true that there's no one correct answer. Creativity and flexibility (and a little luck) are key. Let's be honest though---it's not the days when you'd have hit if you played a $4000 caveman ticket that hurt because that's not realistic for the vast majority of us. It's the days where, even though you know that the caveman ticket is dumb, the $120 caveman Pick 4 pays $4000 and your more intelligent $50 pared-down ticket misses that hurt the most.