This year's rendition has a lot of accomplished and interesting horses.

I'm not an accomplished pattern reader, I'll leave that analysis to others. I don't have any backstretch confidential I'll leave that steam to others. With a few horses already fast enough to win and a few others capable of improvements, I am thinking the race dynamics and trip are key... my analysis of same follows.

The first puzzle I want to resolve is [b]Summer Revolution[/b]. Drawn well in PP #3 for a front running type. But, this one has not led @ the 1st call yet. His strength appears to be he just doesn't slow down much at all. In this race with [b]Fish Trappe Road[/b] to the inside in PP #2 likely to break on top [b]Summer Revolution[/b] in my view may not make the lead until after they have run 4F complicating his trip are the two SoCal horses, [b]Jazzy Times[/b] and [b]Drefong[/b] closing down on him from the outside. With Saint Javier up the inexperienced colt is in good hands. I just don't expect SR to get the early lead and if not can this one still get a winning trip? Is the m/l of 6/1 reasonable.

I believe the race winner will come from this front running group. [b]Fish Trappe Road[/b] doesn't have enough of an early advantage or late kick so he'll fade in the stretch (but his a.m. worktab hints that he may run off early will that affect those used to no one in front of them?). [b]Drefong[/b] is surely compromised by the outside PP and either loses ground leaving, at best, a minor placing. [b]Jazzy Road[/b] less compromised by the post, appears to me to be RR's main competition. With a m/l of 8/1 another who seems worth the price.

I don't see any horse making up any ground until late stretch when our locomotive closers try and pick up the minor placings. Although, Mike Smith & [b]Drefong[/b] may be reserved some what early. Bejarano on [b]Jazzy Road[/b] probably not. I expect [b]Star Hill[/b] and [b]Mind Your Biscuits[/b] to make strong middle move but where can they go maybe they can save some ground by joining [b]Tail of Svali[/b] on the inside behind the speed. I just see this group as traffic needing to navigate around FTR and unable to get a check. They will not be on any of my tickets.

The Late Closers (and ground loss specialists) [b]Tom's Ready[/b] & [b]Rated R Superstar[/b] will be running well late yet have left too much to do. I also expect [b]Birdsong[/b] to be in the running for Super maybe even Tri placings.

The Wild Cards [b]Economic Model[/b]. Gets to save ground. Should be able to run his race at the 7F distance. Gets I. Ortiz, Gets chumpy (is that what MIFF calls him?) While a nice horse, probably better at 1M, maybe C. Brown will try him on the lawn. As far as gray horses ([b]Mohaymen[/b]) I prefer [b]Creator's[/b] chances and price better. [b]Noholdingbackbear[/b] gets a m/l 10/1 he has been quick early on WO's artificial surface where it's hard to carry one's speed a jump up candidate? Sure can't fault his accomplishments. Handled dirt just fine in SoFLa.

Box Baffert & Rudy R. for exacta and trifecta add Rated R. Superstar on the bottom of the tri & super he must be in great shape to be working so leisurely in the morning.

How good is [u]Drefong[/u]? Favored from post #13 and has to get around the Canuck. I think favoritism here is the celebrity thing,

I like this race! Where is the value?