Re: ROTW - Bel 9th Ticonderoga (1047 Views)
Posted by:
richiebee (IP Logged)
Date: October 22, 2016 01:28AM
Will approach this race the same way Eddie did... without mentioning a single
TG #...but will try to incorporate two oft mentioned factors, weight and
ground loss, in my brief analysis of the Ticonderoga
On August 26, Fourstar Crook and Flipcup ran 1-2 in the Yaddo on a yielding
Spa turf. The Crook carried 118 that day, Flipper carried 116. The Crook
found himself wide from her outside post while Flipper sat inside until the
1/4 pole and was inexplicably taken wide in the lane, ending up to the Crook's
outside. Despite Johnny V's magical mystery tour, Flipper was only beaten 3/4s
of a length by the Crook at odds of nearly 15/1.
I seem to recall Frankie D, who liked Flipper in that spot, having a mild
reaction to Johnny's ride... the kind of reaction which makes Saratoga jockeys
happy that fans are no longer able to get up close and personal with riders
during the race day.
Fast forward to later today, where in the Ticonderoga Flipper will carry 117
breaking from post 2 and the Crook will carry 123 from the far outside.
The Play: All in on Flipper at the ML (6-1) or above.
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