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 Race of the Week:  2023 Breeders' Cup Days Final Figures Santa Anita 3-4 November 2023  • 1 Specials Available
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Re: TR stats - is it redboarding if you lose? (1049 Views)
Posted by: FrankD. (IP Logged)
Date: October 23, 2016 09:52AM

Guys,

Ex Post Facto one can usually find a reason to bet a horse. The $89 winner I'm sorry I can't.

He took 7 tries to break his maiden, got beat in a MDN 30K at Churchill in his sixth try. There were 5 other horses that have run 2-5 points faster than he ever had several times. Even considering his 34% top per thoro pattern last 90 and turf to dirt the ROI is negative and with a rider who is 10% for the trainer in a 260 horse sample.

Shanny I could have bet the 3 (I didn't) a million times more than the winner.
!st time dirt by a sire that is 3 points faster on dirt than turf, 2 points faster than plastic, a forward moving pattern and Noble Bird and Brother Pat on the dams side with 4 & 5's routing at 3.

Sorry guys I could never find a reason to bet this horse yesterday and as I stated pre race for Gettysburg put a fork in him off of those fractions getting beat. He's off to the Pletcher 5 zeros scrap heap to be seen in a 25K claimer real soon.

Frank D.



Subject Written By Posted
TR stats - is it redboarding if you lose? (1301 Views) shanahan 10/23/2016 07:26AM
Turf to Dirt (886 Views) jbelfior 10/23/2016 07:52AM
Re: Turf to Dirt (933 Views) BitPlayer 10/23/2016 10:01AM
Re: TR stats - is it redboarding if you lose? (1049 Views) FrankD. 10/23/2016 09:52AM
Re: TR stats - is it redboarding if you lose? (898 Views) shanahan 10/23/2016 10:59AM
Re: TR stats - is it redboarding if you lose? (846 Views) Boscar Obarra 10/23/2016 01:25PM


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