Re: Glare Ice (1199 Views)
Posted by:
TGAB (IP Logged)
Date: December 30, 2016 05:59PM
A $16,000 claiming race NW2L, these aren't very talented nor are they very consistent runners. Indeed as a general rule form variability is directly related to the quality of race as defined by type. Glare Ice's last was about 3 to 6 points off the faster runners in here but she showed a top last year which fit with these. She actually ran 3 in a row within a month and then regressed though not too badly. Importantly for Glare Ice or so I interpreted, her last was her best in this campaign, an effective "top"--1-1/4 points better than the 18-1/4--. It was a sign she was regaining her condition and optimistically augured for better. That slight new "top" came on about 6 weeks rest, good time, and as I often state in ROTWs slight new "tops" can presage imminent improvement. She had better to run back to and didn't have much to beat, and she was 12-1 ML. I graded it B- because she had to run well and the 4 or 5 others effectively faster now had to regress some. Possible because these are inconsistent sorts, but you're taking a shot.
TGAB
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