The analysis is very persuasive. Yet upon reflection it seems too easy. Something just does not seem right, I puzzled? I reconsidered all the contenders again. I stopped on George Arnold's Wild Shot.

I don't care for the ground losing trip I envision he'll have, further complicated by his apparent need to lead vs quicker. Then I reflected on his m/l of 5/1 and strike three you're outa here. But the TG line just shouts jump up to me!

But wait! The m/l on the two Pletcher horses of 9/2 and 8/1? Didn't he just run one two ?? in last years race or the year before with Destin and forgetaboutem?

Weather s/b very good and the cold front not expected until evening. But I'm thinking maybe 5/2 and 9/2 on the Pletchers with the aforementioned #6 the odds beneficiary riding up to 8/1 c/b more.

Curious to see the post time prices.

Just an aside - I played Hong Kong last night and between races I glanced at the pool sizes, Win pools of 30 million/race? 30 million what? Dollars? times 10 races 300 million in just the win pools. Oh! HK$ = .13USD, still...

By the way, both Pletcher colts are apparently grey.