Re: weekday vs weekend (957 Views)
Posted by:
TheBull (IP Logged)
Date: February 17, 2017 10:42AM
I think it also depends on the track too. Boutique meets like Keeneland, or vacation spots like Del Mar and Saratoga tend to still have good weekday cards and solid opportunities. I have had some great Thursday's at Keeneland. Aqueduct Inner? Forget it. Field size and competitive fields are a big key here. Take a look at Santa Anita's card yesterday. Too many short fields with only two or three horses per race that have any chance. That's a terrible card. Race 4 was a five horse field 30k OCL with two maidens. You can't make any money there. Oaklawn, however, has some great weekday opportunities. They tend to have larger fields and more competitive races, where it seems like six or seven horses per race have a chance.
Conversely, the "Super Saturday" cards also have been disappointments for me, results wise. With the exception of Triple Crown and BC days (which also are the toughest drug testing days oddly enough), I find the Super Saturday cards to be star studded, yet chalky. It feels like the same hot trainers/connections winning all the races at short prices (drug testing related?). How many Super Saturday cards at Gulfstream over the years has Pletcher won four or five all at short prices? The other thing I have noticed is trying to attract the game's biggest stars can be a double edged sword. You may get the best horse's in the world, or at least the grounds, but you may also scare off some perfectly legit horses from entering. Imagine a Super Saturday card at Santa Anita with Arrogate, Songbird, Unique Bella, and let's say Tepin as the headliners. Do you think any of those races will have decent field sizes or good betting opportunities? Doubtful. NYRA has this problem a lot in the Fall during their BC Showcase days. They have five or six graded stakes but get short fields for most of them. The track does not care who wins. They just want the most hype possible and as many people possible paying attention/wagering. I say, from a betting perspective, they'd be better off with a couple of 10 horse allowance fields sprinkled in, as opposed to three grade 1 runaways by a 2/5 shots in five horse fields. Save one or two of those for their own day, another weekend.
To me, it all comes down to field size, competitive racing and opportunity. It varies by day and by track (and by drug testing), but that's the beauty of simulcasting. You can pick and choose your spots.