It's not an easy race to assign figures to but I think Thunder Snow probably will come back in the 3-range, which makes him possibly the most serious threat coming out of a UAE Derby until now, specially when one is considering how he earned that number. Lani had a bit of trouble last year but also ran a few points slower, progressed well from there and earned a lot of respect both here and elsewhere (in spite of his "studid" racing style). Mubtaahij the year before was about as fast as Thunder Snow by my calculations, a tiny bit slower perhaps, but he had a perfect race that time. To be fair, he too has developed into a very respectable horse since that.

No matter which figure one ends up giving Thunder Snow, one will have to give him about 2 and 2/3 TG-points more than Epicharis (who perhaps could have fared even better on a "normal" Meydan-track, all though it's not given).

Edit: That is by using ground from Trakus