The Falls city Handicap (914 Views)
Posted by:
kev (IP Logged)
Date: November 26, 2003 06:17PM
What a nice race this and the Clark turned out to be.
The horse I picked in the FCH is Golden Marlin 6-1 ML first of all I don't think her odds will be 6-1, I'm looking at more like 9-1 to 12-1 with TCLady to take alot of money in here. One reason why I picked this horse is I think she can run somewhere around a 2.2 to a 3.0 and be in the mix only because of the other horses numbers collapse.
Mayo on the side---had a nice line coming into her last and then throws in a clucker in the last, which will make me back away from her this time.
Fircroft---Had the nice 1/2pt move in her last, which is a move I like to play, but what makes me not this time is the fact the number is a big number for a 3yr filly.
Sweetwater Promise---Another one with the small move forward in her last, even if she does move forward, it will have to take about a 5pt. new top to even get her to hit the board. pass for a key, but playable at long odds in the tri.
Lead Story---Funny how sheet reading can go, Nov.8 I liked her line and bet her at 35-1 and today I will be playing her to bounce off that 1.2 number. at 8-1ml a use in the tri's.
Awesome Humor---What to say about AH pops in a new 4pt top in her last, which I though she would run a new one. Is 4-1ml and has a good crack at this to bounce out of the money.
Cloakof Vagueness---Looks too slow on number power, is 15-1ml and will be higher than that come 3:52 thursday, only thing I could say about her good is when horses keep pairing or tripling up on numbers it's a sign that they are ready to move to the next level, is she?????
Misty Sixes---Had the big big number two back a 0.1 and then bounces to the moon next out, how will she come back in here, might be able to move forward off that 8.3 back to a 5 level which won't do anything for her.
TCLady--- 6-5ml coming off a O-2-X pattern, hard read for me on this hoss, theres no way she will run back to a -2, I give her a little shot at running a 0.2 and the weights will off set that a bit. Even is TCL runs a 2.0 and the weight could put her in the hunt but at 4-5 not for me. Only a use for the ex's with my key horse.
Rhiana---Is too slow and shows no pattern that I know of that will run a new top for her, being a 6yr-old does'nt help either. Soon as a say that she will win and pay 85.00.
So that brings me back to Golden Marlin i've seen this type of line that will have her moving in the right direction again.
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