Re: Not Being Combative Here Jimbo But! (1120 Views)
Posted by:
sekrah (IP Logged)
Date: May 21, 2017 12:00PM
jimbo66 Wrote:
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> When you factor in that most reasonable
> people/handicappers knew the Derby was run on a
> biased track (as Andy Beyer pointed out) and that
> AD was with that bias, the Pletcher + bias factor
> made him a vulnerable favorite.).
On face value, blindly dismissing a horse (as Beyer did) because he may have benefited from a track bias in his previous race is a HORRIBLE approach to handicapping. If a horse is positively affected by a bias, that would mean he ran a slower figure than what was given, changing his pattern. A slower figure could benefit (Pair or slight move forward instead of a huge top) or harm the chances of a horse (0-2-X). If a horse was negatively affected by a bias, then he deserved a faster figure, and that too could either benefit or harm his next race.