No Sekrah,

As per recent norm, you are off point again.

Andy Beyer's point, which is EXTREMELY valid, was that if a horse enjoys a speed, bias and trip advantage during a race and with all those advantages, still runs a mediocre figure for the level, then that horse will be a bad favorite next time out. His view was that considering the pace/trip/inside bias, the 102 beyer wasn't very good and was weak for the Derby.

And he is and was right. Now, he didn't pick the winner, which is the part that matters, but he was right about AD. Very right.

As for you, you have talked in many different directions this triple crown season,. 35 posts or so before the Derby talking about how great AD was, only to eventually post that you gave the 9-2 shot, a horse you fawned over, about a 10% chacne to win. Then you lamented after the race that you made a mistake betting against the super horse to get sucked into a 30-1 shot with a nice pattern.

Then a few posts about Gunnevara and Always Dreamin Preakness week.

Then miraculously you pop up about 3 minutes before the Preakness, live to Classic Empire, Cloud Computing and Gunnevara. No idea where CE or CC came from as far as you liking them and of course, you again bet against the horse you called the second coming.

So I would worry less about what Beyer says. He was on point, whether you understood it or not.

Jim