TG = Voodoo? (779 Views)
Posted by:
jimbo66 (IP Logged)
Date: May 10, 2004 04:24PM
I have heard Andy Beyer and a few other professional "handicappers" refer to the Thorograph sheets and Ragozin numbers as "voodoo" and baseless. I have been betting horses for about 20 years and rely on speed figures, trips and some breeding knowledge to make my bets. Every year for the past 3, I have bought the Thorograph seminar for the Derby, just to get another opinion and because I am a little intrigued. I actually bought two handicapper sheets from Thorograph the past week as well. So granted, I have a very small sample of what to go by. But, to be honest, the handicapper went "0 for the card" on both Belmont cards and I think the analysis missed the mark in the Derby. I have been watching this board for a few weeks and I found it very strange and a little too "self-serving" when a posting "congratulated Jerry on the Derby analysis". I listened to that seminar twice and distinctly heard "50% chance that either Lion Heart or The Cliff's Edge" wins the race. I also heard that Smarty Jones was the "key" to the race in that he was much faster than the other horses but was likely to regress and possibly a catastrophic regression, so Jerry was hesistantly throwing out the horse. He won, so I don't understand the congratulations.
Like I said, I have only seen a small sample, but would love to hear from a few Thorograph veterans as to why the sheets are not voodoo and instead a solid handicapping tool.
Thanks,
Jim