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Re: What I Don't Understand About Last-Second Program Betting (922 Views)
Posted by: TempletonPeck (IP Logged)
Date: June 15, 2017 12:41PM

I would be absolutely shocked if Benter/his ilk were not creating their own figures, whether actually or effectively (in other words, they may be combining a number of attributes into their formula that would serve as the basis for performance figures without actually producing a figure).

Any information that is publicly available isn't often very valuable - everyone has it after all.

Take the example of NFL injury reports: unless you can get them before they're publicly available, then you just know what everyone else knows and the line moves accordingly. There's no value in having that information when everyone else has it too, you have to either get it earlier than others do, or do something with it that others can't (in this case, Benter takes the publicly available information regarding exotic will-pays, and his software tells him where the inefficiencies are, so he's doing something with publicly available information that others aren't doing, thereby creating some value).

(This is why TGs are valuable, IMO - we get to have some information that most people don't have!)

What he describes in terms of reviewing the previous performances of each horse sounds to me like making performance figures - reviewing times, weight carried, distance traveled, etc. Then they go further and include things like class/competition/jockey performance, and apply a regression to weight more recent performances more heavily (something the Sartin school believed in, in a sort of rough-and-ready way).



Subject Written By Posted
What I Don't Understand About Last-Second Program Betting (1670 Views) hellersorr 06/12/2017 09:08PM
Re: What I Don't Understand About Last-Second Program Betting (1139 Views) TempletonPeck 06/13/2017 12:32PM
Re: What I Don't Understand About Last-Second Program Betting (1113 Views) Mathcapper 06/13/2017 11:43PM
Re: What I Don't Understand About Last-Second Program Betting (1046 Views) hellersorr 06/14/2017 12:28PM
Re: What I Don't Understand About Last-Second Program Betting (1002 Views) Mathcapper 06/14/2017 01:25PM
Re: What I Don't Understand About Last-Second Program Betting (1273 Views) Furious Pete 06/14/2017 02:40PM
Re: What I Don't Understand About Last-Second Program Betting (1037 Views) Mathcapper 06/14/2017 06:18PM
Re: What I Don't Understand About Last-Second Program Betting (849 Views) hellersorr 06/14/2017 09:32PM
Re: What I Don't Understand About Last-Second Program Betting (880 Views) Bet Twice 06/14/2017 10:25PM
Re: What I Don't Understand About Last-Second Program Betting (843 Views) hellersorr 06/14/2017 10:42PM
Re: What I Don't Understand About Last-Second Program Betting (1613 Views) Mathcapper 06/15/2017 01:43AM
Re: What I Don't Understand About Last-Second Program Betting (984 Views) TGJB 06/15/2017 11:33AM
Re: What I Don't Understand About Last-Second Program Betting (917 Views) Mathcapper 06/15/2017 11:54AM
Re: What I Don't Understand About Last-Second Program Betting (922 Views) TempletonPeck 06/15/2017 12:41PM
Re: What I Don't Understand About Last-Second Program Betting (949 Views) TGJB 06/15/2017 01:28PM
Re: What I Don't Understand About Last-Second Program Betting (794 Views) hellersorr 06/15/2017 03:39PM
Re: What I Don't Understand About Last-Second Program Betting (972 Views) Furious Pete 06/15/2017 04:53PM
Re: What I Don't Understand About Last-Second Program Betting (900 Views) Mathcapper 06/15/2017 07:07PM
Re: What I Don't Understand About Last-Second Program Betting (869 Views) hellersorr 06/15/2017 09:08PM
Re: What I Don't Understand About Last-Second Program Betting (866 Views) Mathcapper 06/15/2017 10:03PM
Re: What I Don't Understand About Last-Second Program Betting (941 Views) Boscar Obarra 06/15/2017 10:12PM
Re: What I Don't Understand About Last-Second Program Betting (835 Views) richiebee 06/15/2017 05:35PM
Re: What I Don't Understand About Last-Second Program Betting (813 Views) legendbets 06/16/2017 01:43PM


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