Re: How about some picks for opening day (892 Views)
Posted by:
Tavasco (IP Logged)
Date: July 21, 2017 09:29AM
mlnolan00 Wrote:
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> I'm wading in pretty easy tomorrow (plus I have to
> work then have lunch with my girlfriends who just
> don't understand that Saratoga is >>>> the pool.)
>
> As such, I'm more observing than playing on Friday
> but do believe I'll use a few of my #Huddie
> bullets on Snowfire 6-1 in the Schuylerville;
[b]I thought Snowfire was very impressive in her first. Not the easiest trip but made the race look easy and seemingly won without undo exertion. The problem is most all of these fillies have impressed previously. Since TAP is only entering one this year I am wary of Stainless. Curious that this Flatter filly stayed in FL through May then to the Spa. Suggests, to me, she c/b surprisingly good.
My perspective is catching and running by all of the speed horses from the outside in this race should prove much more difficult than in their previous races. Dream It Is, Mel's Gone Wild, Limited View, and even Buy Sell Hold present obstacles and I expect the winner to come from one of the front running group. Of course one or both of the outside horse could get started better today.
[/b]
> potentially either Beshert and Gold Shield in R7
> as each has robust odds along with a few things
> each going in their directions so we'll see.
[b]A batch of horses who can't seem to win. I respect Gold Shield and I'm currently inclined to box that one with Messi & Backsideofthe moon if he gets in. Treading lightly.[/b]
>
> My big play tomorrow may focus around Nacho's
> filly in the other stakes. She'll be about the
> longest price on the board but gets a sweet little
> 115lb impost, giving weight to EVERYBODY else in
> the field, and a cozy run saving ground where
> she'll have plenty of pace to change if she can
> get clear. Furthermore, this filly is right there
> in terms of ability and should really appreciate a
> cutback from 9F and wide post of the Regret (where
> she still ran a close 5th).
>
> He line is definitely progressive and apparently
> portends for a 39% new top. Also that running
> line two back when 2nd vs freaky-good colt Sonic
> Boom looks pretty compelling combined with the
> fact Nacho is firing caliente right now, I gotta
> have a little taste of big odds on Fizzy Friday.
[b]I think you've landed on a live one here. I'll protect by putting her under the Chad Brown Irad Ortiz filly believing Chad points to Saratoga and anything is possible with his projects.[/b]
[b]Thanksfor sharing your thoughts and good luck.[/b]
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