Re: Thoro-Pattern (894 Views)
Posted by:
BitPlayer (IP Logged)
Date: November 08, 2017 09:42AM
dsipes -
Actually, the juxtaposition of your Stellar Wind observations with the Bar of Gold discussion in another thread demonstrates the idiosyncrasies of Thoro-Pattern. Bar of Gold ran a negative 4.25 on October 22, 2016. Stellar Wind ran a negative 4.0 three weeks earlier. Yet, for Thoro-Pattern purposes, the -4.0 was Stellar Wind's "effective top," but the -4.25 was not Bar of Gold's top, because she had run more races (most of which were not even dirt races) in the interim. If she had run one less grass race at this summer, Bar of Gold's "effective top" would have been -4.25 and her Thoro-Pattern stats (for X-X-X) would have looked just like Stellar Wind's. I'm not saying that Thoro-Pattern is wrong, just that it is a blunt tool.
P.S. I didn't bet either of them.