How about discussing the Sprint.

Look at the Thoro Pattern for American Pastime.

Then look at the Thoro Pattern for Roy H.

Make sure you are looking at the graphs going into the race, not final numbers
which were today released by TG.

Another interesting case, and one which might be a strong one in support of the
efficacy of the TP, is that World Approval"s Thoro Pattern called for a 36%
likelihood of an "Off" race, which was indeed the result. (WA's TP also showed
a 49% chance at a "Pair").

I will exit while pointing out one more pattern. Look at Whitmore's graph pre
race, which called for a 66% likelihood of an "x". Prophecy fulfilled. I've
always been swayed by mass quantities; the sample size for Whitmore's "Dirt 4YO
Oct- Dec X X X" pattern is [b]5004[/b]. From this dismal pattern, 1% (including
possible rounding) were able to put forth a top effort.

If I were ever going to look seriously at a TP, it might be one like Whitmore's
featuring a large starter sample size, and an extreme forecast, ie a number
like Whitmore's (probably less than) 1% chance of posting a "top" effort.

And what does it say about North American racing that there is such a large
sampling of "XXX" runners?