Kudos on the race selection this week, a very interesting puzzle that once upon a time would have generated a serious handicapping discussion on this board......

Agree totally with Daisy being a horrible favorite, weight, outside post, lack of # power, although fastest early could get hung out 3-4 deep with a short run into the turn with plenty of speed inside her. She was in Florida and returned to Fair Hill and shipped back? I can see this one out of the tri, even if she clears into the turn the effort & weight will do her in.

CS Incharge has her last 2 on off tracks and 2 before on the grass, Rosario should be very aggressive from the rail, then again you never know about him.Bred better for brown than green and to go long this one interests me down the road but not with today’s pace scenario. 9f on the grass in her 3rd start as a 2yr old.

Blonde Bomber can’t be argued with as the TG choice and she should sit a nice trip behind the speed girls. I think you can toss out the FG race, many don’t run well there and she fired a bullet 12 days after. Three things I do not like about her but certainly not enough to leave her out of the exacta.
1) She will be a solid 2nd choice at 5/2 or 3/1
2) Gold has quite the case of seconditis at Gulf this winter. 2 wins & 11 2nd’s
3) 5 tries to break her maiden at Gulf in the summer all at less than 2/1

Belles Orb has a win over the track, off a pair, Centeno & Keneally do pretty good work together at Tampa.

Mihrab is the one I like the most, price will be right, no higher than 4th choice,huge Jockey upgrade to Jose, watch the replays Wow, coming in off a pair, 6lbs from Daisy & 4 from B.B. bred to go long, Tiznow’s jump 3 pts. from 2-3 and the dam routed a 4 as a 3 yr old.

So Refined is the wild card, moving forward off a bad start, off track & off the turf maiden breaker, a win at the distance over the track, drops 6 lbs and FTL,let’s throw in 2 very nice works & a trainer on the job less than a year is 50% in the exacta for the meet.......

The Play:
A 4 horse tri 📦 with B.B. Orb, Mihrab & So Refined, A tri keying Mihrab first & second around the other 3.
Exacta’s keying Mihrab in the top 2 spots with the other 3 with an extra 🥊 with him on top of the 3.
A win bet at anything close to the ML makes sense unless he is at the end of a horizontal?

Good luck and a great race to cap,

Frank D.