Re: Man Bites Dog (1332 Views)
Posted by:
TGJB (IP Logged)
Date: May 12, 2018 11:05AM
Or, to put it another way, if they let me bet now I’d have the super cold. Yes, I do look at horses who jump up, usually to see if it’s happening repeatedly with certain trainers. No, I don’t try to draw other conclusions, I need way more data points for that. Hitting a race doesn’t mean you were right. The idea is to make the right bet, not pick the winner. If Justify is 3/5 and Audible is 30-1, there’s no doubt which is the right bet, regardless of the result.
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Underlays frequently win— the horse doesn’t know what price he is. Always Dreaming won last year, I will book every horse that looks like that as the favorite, forever.
I pointed out in the seminar that Good Magic looked like Practical Joke, and Vino Rosso and Lone Sailor looked like Always Dreaming and Mine That Bird. That means I should have liked the last two, right?