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 Race of the Week:  2023 Breeders' Cup Days Final Figures Santa Anita 3-4 November 2023 
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Re: Pimlico broadcast analysts said track played fair… (880 Views)
Posted by: Tavasco (IP Logged)
Date: May 20, 2018 12:19PM

I have repeatedly asked this forum to define the physics of an early speed bias. I have never really gotten a satisfactory answer. One could then conclude there is no such thing. At least until we know what it is.

Maybe Saturday was a sloppy track bias. The results of which cause the differences in performances to be exaggerated. When front runners consistently pull away in the stretch we wonder? Maybe its the opposite and dry fast conditions minimize the difference in performances.

Previously, some answers to my query described the results of an early speed bias. They are obvious. What are the [u]causes[/u] of an early speed bias. If such a phenomena exists what are its components and characteristics? Does it seem to be magnified in sloppy conditions?

In the end, its not surprising the crowd made the front runners the favorites, or the the favorites were the previously best performers, but the margins of victory? Yes, races taken off the turf presumably won't look like their turf version.

The Preakness sure was interesting especially in light of Rags having both Justify and Good Magic regressing in their previous race. However, their regression on Saturday (one or both) would not have been surprising. A blanket finish with four horses was not what I expected. As others have pointed out, by the time (yawn) we got to race #13 any bias certainly did not help the two pace setters, but track conditions can change race to race as we know.

Let The TAP touting begin.



Subject Written By Posted
Pimlico broadcast analysts said track played fair… (1492 Views) JohnTChance 05/19/2018 07:48PM
Re: Pimlico broadcast analysts said track played fair… (939 Views) wrongly1 05/20/2018 01:49AM
Re: Pimlico broadcast analysts said track played fair… (941 Views) sekrah_ 05/20/2018 07:13AM
Re: Pimlico broadcast analysts said track played fair… (915 Views) grinder 05/20/2018 07:59AM
Re: Pimlico broadcast analysts said track played fair… (955 Views) TreadHead 05/20/2018 08:14AM
Re: Pimlico broadcast analysts said track played fair… (815 Views) sekrah_ 05/20/2018 10:07AM
Re: Pimlico broadcast analysts said track played fair… (880 Views) Tavasco 05/20/2018 12:19PM
Re: Biases (785 Views) BitPlayer 05/20/2018 01:33PM
Re: Biases (752 Views) JR 05/20/2018 03:46PM
Re: Pimlico broadcast analysts said track played fair… (803 Views) john9969 05/20/2018 09:01AM


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