Re: Pimlico broadcast analysts said track played fair… (880 Views)
Posted by:
Tavasco (IP Logged)
Date: May 20, 2018 12:19PM
I have repeatedly asked this forum to define the physics of an early speed bias. I have never really gotten a satisfactory answer. One could then conclude there is no such thing. At least until we know what it is.
Maybe Saturday was a sloppy track bias. The results of which cause the differences in performances to be exaggerated. When front runners consistently pull away in the stretch we wonder? Maybe its the opposite and dry fast conditions minimize the difference in performances.
Previously, some answers to my query described the results of an early speed bias. They are obvious. What are the [u]causes[/u] of an early speed bias. If such a phenomena exists what are its components and characteristics? Does it seem to be magnified in sloppy conditions?
In the end, its not surprising the crowd made the front runners the favorites, or the the favorites were the previously best performers, but the margins of victory? Yes, races taken off the turf presumably won't look like their turf version.
The Preakness sure was interesting especially in light of Rags having both Justify and Good Magic regressing in their previous race. However, their regression on Saturday (one or both) would not have been surprising. A blanket finish with four horses was not what I expected. As others have pointed out, by the time (yawn) we got to race #13 any bias certainly did not help the two pace setters, but track conditions can change race to race as we know.
Let The TAP touting begin.
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