Re: Restless Ryder (955 Views)
Posted by:
Fairmount1 (IP Logged)
Date: August 31, 2018 09:33PM
Baffert-Smith at Saratoga a combined 8-7-0-1 together the last 5 years at Saratoga. All grade 1's. No two year olds trained by Baffert have started at Saratoga in that time frame whatsoever.
On a Beyer note, 6 of those 8 over 100 and the other two "earned" 92 and 98 figs. Jerardi wrote how the Beyer team lowered Abel Tasman's number by 8 points b/c the time just didn't fit with other horses previous figs. I think miff would call this some VooDoo. I looked at the TG figs and based on Elate I am assuming TG didn't adjust downward (projected down based on other horses) as much as Beyer??? Curious any comments on this JB since I haven't had sufficient time to Really study the comparisons there.
The race was run in 1:47.19 (track record is 1:46.64 by Lawyer Ron). Marley's Freedom ran 7f in 1:21.39 faster than Whitmore's 1:21.46. (track record is 1:20.40 by Darby Creek Road). Isn't it possible these two ran faster b/c Baffert gets horses to run faster in NY? I'm surprised Beyer adjusted downward at least on AT and wrote about it. Again, Jerry, any thoughts? You can wait until Tuesday after the meet is over as I know you have much on your plate. But, if you have any comments as I'm genuinely curious your thoughts on the day if that track "changed" for that "freakish fast" race as Beyer/Hopkins/Jerardi concluded.
At Del Mar, Baffert has started 8 FTS 2yo's at this meet. Anyone want to guess his record? 8 starters, 8 wins. Meanwhile he is 0 for 7 in graded stakes at Del mar this meet. We shall see how he does with Mother Mother (2-1) and heavy heavy fav likely in Roadster over the next few days. He sent Chasing Yesterday east b/c the fillies out west are so tough.....I'm sure that's the reason....... ("I didn’t want to run her at Del Mar – the 2-year-old fillies are really good out there" is the exact Baffert quote from Welsch's DRF article)
Last comment on the Spinaway, several barns believe they have a BC Juvy filly horse in their barn from what I'm hearing. [b]You will get far more than 6-5 on RR. She will be 3rd choice in a 12 horse field behind Baffert and Casse entries.[/b]
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