Re: If program betting can be this wise . . . (966 Views)
Posted by:
FrankD. (IP Logged)
Date: July 11, 2018 07:26AM
Thanks Rock,
Great work diving into this and kudo’s to Bill Finley for diving back into investigating the wagering after his off base dollar amount article and theory in the first piece.
Finley and several other journalists were sent a body of work that Rocky did that killed the first theory of 45k being bet on FF late and shot down the consensus that it was all computer teams that killed the price. We received comments from those who cover the game for a living such as: 100% computer teams, 2 teams collided on the same horse and one who actually believe it or not said “this is old news and sent me a link to piece he wrote 5 years ago”.
Thank you Bill Finley for doing due dillegence while quite frankly others sat on their hands. It’s amazing that this turnaround of theories, dollars and a 2nd article all took place in a matter of hours.
Now those of you that frequent the win pool know that cheaters or those associated with them have the capability to rock the odds undetected by anyone at the last second. Many of you establish the perceived value per the teams on the will pays. Any given Saturday in the backyard there are 4-5 guys doing it all from the school of Rocky. The fruits of your labor are now worthless because they can be off set in seconds. Even the average Joe betting modestly has come to grips that 5/1 loading will go to 4/1, maybe high 7/2. When your $12 horse went to $10 or $9.60, yeah it hurts but now it can go to $7.50...... Do the math and see what that will do to your bankroll over the course of the year.
To we horizontalists, quit looking for the sharp action in will pays when you start a pick 5 sequence because now the 4th choice and doubles and 3rd in pick 3’s in a 7 horse heat with 2 hopeless longshots is a live horse. If you could spot such action as pool watchers have for years you most probably would include that horse, TG’s or not in your equation as a saver. Forget it, that info is no longer available or relevant.
It’s a copy cat world and to quote MJ “to have the Blatentcy” to pull this off on a big Saturday in a stakes race? Buyer and Beyer beware it now can and will happen again and again.
Rezlegal is still waiting for NYRA’s response.
Nero fiddled as Rome burned, did someone mention history repeating itself?
Frank D.