Opening Day At Saratoga thoughts (1727 Views)
Posted by:
toppled (IP Logged)
Date: July 18, 2018 12:28AM
I've been working on the card for the last 5 hours. Hopefully, not in vain.
My best plays are in the 4th, 5th, 7th, and 8th (best bet)
1st-Tepid call that Amoss improves #7 Hardly a Secret further 2nd off the claim. Amoss sports a very good win % 2nd off the claim. Returned to his top 1st off the claim.
2nd-I don't have much of a feel for this one, can't really use sheets. Using 1,4 &7 in exotics.
3rd-2 horse race #6 Monteleone and #4 Sicilia Mike. Slight edge to the lightly raced horse but using both in exotics.
4th-The only horse I'm using is the probable favorite #6 Azzedine, the fastest horse in the race.
5th-Another 2yo maiden with a lot of firsters. I'm going to take a shot with #7 Princess Trina because she'll probably be a better price than those with the more high profile trainers. Nicks does very well with 2yo FTS at Saratoga.
6th-I don't have much of a feel for this one. Shug's #1 Dancing All ran pretty fast last year but needs to be ready off a year's layoff. If she's not ready #10 Palladine Bridge can win this.
7th-#12 Giant Zinger came off a 7 month layoff and broke her maiden when she might not have been fully cranked up. Now she moves up in class but she has a back 2YO # that with normal 2 to 3 improvement can trounce this field. Sire Giant's Causeway's TGI is 3.5 points faster from 2 to 3. Main fear is Chad's #2 Sweet August Lady.
8th: PLAY OF THE DAY #3 CONGRATS GAL-she's tied for top # on a fast track (only 1 horse ran faster and that was on a wet track) when she jogged at Laurel by 6.25 lengths and has been working out like a wild horse since her debut. Her last work in 58.8 was 1.20 seconds faster than the next fastest worker at 5f that day & she's a 2YO filly. A single in all horizontals, and a good win bet. Verticals will be tough since I've got too many horses who can hit the board.
9th: I'm playing #5 Goodthingstaketime & #3 Daddy is a Legend in horizontals.
10th: Each horse has something wrong with it, but my top 3 are#12 Prognostication, #8 Country Court & #11 Hello Holiday.
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