Re: Once upon a time..... (727 Views)
Posted by:
bobphilo (IP Logged)
Date: September 27, 2018 11:14PM
As breakthroughs are fairly uncommon we can't really say how his opinion on breakthroughs has anything to do with his success. Lots of people get to the top of their profession despite being wrong on 1 small issue.
Besides, jockeys are notoriously bad handicappers and, being human, are not immune to the effect of selective memory. In fact they are among the least educated and most dependent on tradition and superstitious beliefs, making them even more likely to have these beliefs deeply ingrained and resistant to change.
I tend to be skeptical of beliefs lacking the support of controlled studies, Physics and Physiology tend to make a negative effect of an easily opened gate unlikely. Also since one is betting against the crowd, better results can be obtained by thinking outside the box and betting against the majority with even slightly better info which the science and common sense imply.