To quote a very smart (sometimes) guy who does the TG BC Seminar, it's the end of a long year. If a horse looks like he might be ready to tail off, he probably is.

Someone with too much time on his hands might want to go through past seminars to track the horses I've said that about, and how they did. Caveat-- some (most? all?) also were dealing with an East/West ship).

We might try a few new studies this year...