Re: Louisiana Derby. Lesson in Figures (696 Views)
Posted by: Fairmount1
Date: March 24, 2019 11:28AM
A lesson in figure making, malfunctioning teletimers in horse racing, and the projection method.
Jerry, I am very curious your take on all of this when you have time before the Ky Derby. Curious if anyone thinks that the Feb 16th races were figured incorrectly (Beyer and TG) and need to be changed? I don't have Timeform numbers but curious what they did as well. Thanks.
EDIT: From Watchmaker's column, (Update - late Sunday morning, Beyer Associates boosted the figure for By My Standards’s maiden win from a 78 to an 86)
Feb. 16th, FG, R7: By My Standards, MSW, 1 1/16 miles, 1:45.04. TG Fig: 7. Beyer Fig: 78. REVISED MUCH TOO LATE: 86.
Feb. 16th, FG, R9: Silver Dust, G3 Stakes, 1 1/16 miles, 1:45.46. TG Fig: 1.5. Beyer Fig: 97.
March 23, FG, R10: Core Beliefs, G2 Stakes Older, 1 1/8 miles, 1:51.36. TG Fig: TBD. Beyer fig: "Came up 83" according to Randy Moss. "Projected a 94."
March 23, FG, R13: By My Standards, G2 3yo Stakes, 1 1/8 miles, 1:49.53 in equibase chart. Randy Moss states 1:49.86 is what they used after computer timing it. TG fig: TBD. Beyer fig: 97