Re: The Kentucky Derby Puzzle (1711 Views)
Posted by:
toppled (IP Logged)
Date: April 16, 2019 02:47PM
My 1st look before I see the sheets, workouts, or post draw, using BRIS & DRF PPs has me with 2 main contenders:
1) Tacitus- his breeding is top notch sired by 3x Belmont stakes winning sire Tapit & out of the Grade 1 winner Close Hatches who won at 1 1/8. Trained by HOFer Mott, ridden by Jose Ortiz, undefeated in 2 starts on Lasix as a 3YO including winning the Tampa Bay Derby off a 4 month layoff. If it rains his mare won the G1 Personal Ensign in the slop. Waiting to see his sheet.
2)Vekoma- Based on the DRF's Timeform pace ratings, he could end up as the lone speed loose on the lead if Instagrand & Knicks Go aren't in the Derby, they're currently 26 & 28th in points making it unlikely either will get in. I don't know this year's numbers, but he ran around a 0 last year winning the Nashua. I think it's the fastest 2YO sheet # among the Derby entrants. If he got back to that # in the Blue Grass, he could be very dangerous-the Beyer came back light in the BG, but BRIS had it strong at 101. I'm waiting to see the TG #. I'm a little prejudiced on him since I boxed him with the field in Derby future pool 1 exactas & I have 11 shots if he runs 1st or 2nd,including my current top pick Tacitus.