Re: Early Stab at Derby M/L, '19 (630 Views)
Posted by:
Fairmount1 (IP Logged)
Date: May 07, 2019 08:51AM
For those interested in how this turned out. Not a horrible effort that far out especially with the loss of Omaha Beach. I'd call War of Will the "wiseguy" horse as he really gathered steam with his works and you could see he would be lower than my original guess. I'm still quite surprised how low Improbable ended up. Did anyone else see that one coming? Or was that a result of the wet weather in the final hour or two?
Left side, My original guess. Right side in Bold, actual rank and odds in win pool.
1. Omaha Beach, 3.90-1. [b]SCRATCHED. Lost 20.2 points of 123[/b]
2. Maximum Security, 5.60-1 [b]2nd choice, 4.50-1.[/b]
3. Game Winner, 5.80-1 [b]4th choice, 6.80-1
[/b]4. Tacitus, 7.60-1 [b]3rd choice, 5.80-1
[/b]5. Roadster, 9.00-1 [b]5th choice 11.60-1
[/b]6. Improbable, 11.50-1 [b][color=#FF0000]Favorite, 4.00-1
[/color][/b]7. Vekoma, 15.60-1 [b]8th choice, 16.80-1
[/b]8. Code of Honor, 19.40-1 [b]6th choice, 14.40-1
[/b]9. Win Win Win, 22.80-1 [b]16.80-1, 9th choice
[/b]10. By My Standards, 24.00-1 [b]10th choice, 18.80-1
[/b]11. Tax, 26.00-1 [b]13th choice, 35.50-1
[/b]12. War of Will, 27.50-1, [b]7th choice 16.70-1
[/b]13. Spinoff, 29.00-1, [b]14th choice 52.30-1[/b]
14. Cutting Humor, 36.00-1, [b]11th choice, 24.10-1[/b]
15. Long Range Toddy, 39.00-1, [b]15th choice 54.80-1[/b]
16. Country House, 42.40-1, [b]18th choice, 65.20-1[/b]
17. Haikal, 46.60-1 [b]SCRATCHED, Lost 2.1 points of 123[/b]
18. Plus Que Parfait, 59.60-1, [b]16th choice, 57.10-1[/b]
19. Master Fencer, 63.50-1, [b]17th choice, 58.60-1
[/b]20. Grey Magician, 82.30-1, [b]12th choice, 33.80-1
[/b]