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 Race of the Week:  2023 Breeders' Cup Days Final Figures Santa Anita 3-4 November 2023 
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Re: Early Stab at Derby M/L, '19 (630 Views)
Posted by: Fairmount1 (IP Logged)
Date: May 07, 2019 08:51AM

For those interested in how this turned out. Not a horrible effort that far out especially with the loss of Omaha Beach. I'd call War of Will the "wiseguy" horse as he really gathered steam with his works and you could see he would be lower than my original guess. I'm still quite surprised how low Improbable ended up. Did anyone else see that one coming? Or was that a result of the wet weather in the final hour or two?

Left side, My original guess. Right side in Bold, actual rank and odds in win pool.

1. Omaha Beach, 3.90-1. [b]SCRATCHED. Lost 20.2 points of 123[/b]
2. Maximum Security, 5.60-1 [b]2nd choice, 4.50-1.[/b]
3. Game Winner, 5.80-1 [b]4th choice, 6.80-1
[/b]4. Tacitus, 7.60-1 [b]3rd choice, 5.80-1
[/b]5. Roadster, 9.00-1 [b]5th choice 11.60-1
[/b]6. Improbable, 11.50-1 [b][color=#FF0000]Favorite, 4.00-1
[/color][/b]7. Vekoma, 15.60-1 [b]8th choice, 16.80-1
[/b]8. Code of Honor, 19.40-1 [b]6th choice, 14.40-1
[/b]9. Win Win Win, 22.80-1 [b]16.80-1, 9th choice
[/b]10. By My Standards, 24.00-1 [b]10th choice, 18.80-1
[/b]11. Tax, 26.00-1 [b]13th choice, 35.50-1
[/b]12. War of Will, 27.50-1, [b]7th choice 16.70-1
[/b]13. Spinoff, 29.00-1, [b]14th choice 52.30-1[/b]
14. Cutting Humor, 36.00-1, [b]11th choice, 24.10-1[/b]
15. Long Range Toddy, 39.00-1, [b]15th choice 54.80-1[/b]
16. Country House, 42.40-1, [b]18th choice, 65.20-1[/b]
17. Haikal, 46.60-1 [b]SCRATCHED, Lost 2.1 points of 123[/b]
18. Plus Que Parfait, 59.60-1, [b]16th choice, 57.10-1[/b]
19. Master Fencer, 63.50-1, [b]17th choice, 58.60-1
[/b]20. Grey Magician, 82.30-1, [b]12th choice, 33.80-1
[/b]



Subject Written By Posted
Early Stab at Derby M/L, '19 (2062 Views) Fairmount1 04/16/2019 08:02PM
Re: Early Stab at Derby M/L, '19 (1030 Views) Molesap 04/16/2019 09:55PM
Re: Early Stab at Derby M/L, '19 (988 Views) johnnym 04/16/2019 10:03PM
Re: Early Stab at Derby M/L, '19 (983 Views) boardedup 04/17/2019 08:29AM
Re: Early Stab at Derby M/L, '19 (961 Views) boardedup 04/20/2019 01:06AM
Re: Early Stab at Derby M/L, '19 (866 Views) johnnym 04/23/2019 04:28PM
Re: Early Stab at Derby M/L, '19 (719 Views) Tavasco 04/25/2019 11:21PM
Re: Early Stab at Derby M/L, '19 (697 Views) Gerard 04/26/2019 07:31AM
Re: Early Stab at Derby M/L, '19 (728 Views) RICH 04/26/2019 03:13PM
Re: Early Stab at Derby M/L, '19 (630 Views) Fairmount1 05/07/2019 08:51AM
Re: Early Stab at Derby M/L, '19 (571 Views) atakante 05/07/2019 01:01PM


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