A quick look a the group you expect Owendale to join.

[b]2017 Cloud Computing[/b]
Cloud Computing was a late starter in so much as he didn't race as a 2 y/o. He burst onto the scene at Aqu as a first time winner in Feb. He followed that effort with competitive outings in the Gotham and Wood. Losing to luminaries J Boys Echo and Irish war cry. CC went off @ 12/1 in his Preakness win. The race favorite Always Dreaming's flop didn't surprise all that many and under achieving Classic Empire (the 2/1 2nd choice) once again just could not close the deal. CC could be characterized as the best of the rest. I don't remember the TG analysis but I remember CC being a popular winner on this board. A year somewhat similar to this year in that two of the Ky Derby refugees are well regarded by many yet with doubts? White hot trainer Chad Brown added to CC's attraction.

Noteworthy - Owendale has run run three good races two of those he ran with the pacesetter. His Riesen Star bounce followed and the Lexington tactic of taking back may have been key as [i]Atakante[/i] surmises.

[b]2009 Rachel Alexandra[/b]
Surprise KY Derby winner Mine That Bird was carrying the flag for the KY derby contingent in 2009 along with Baffert's Pioneer Of the Nile. They were 2nd and third choices at about 6/1 to 9/5 favorite RA. The filly ran them off their feet with solid fractions. Pretty sure a case of best horse won.

[b]2006 Bernardini[/b]
A freakish year. Bernardini was the beast and as yet unrealized at post time. Barbaro was the shining star and 1/2 favorite. In hindsight, an overlay of a life time Bernardini was 12/1 like Cloud Computing for the superstitious. Barbaro was a trajedy. Footnote - Trombetta ran 2nd with Sweetsouthernsaint.

[b]2000 Red Bullet[/b]
Red Bullet is a curious one to me. He beat what was arguably a good field. Starting with 3/10 favorite Fusaichi Pegasus along with Impeachment, Captain Steve, Snuck In, High Yield and Hal's Hope. Red Bullet was the 6/1 second choice. Owned by Stronach, trained by Orseno and ridden by Prado. An obvious play against an odds on favorite. The colt had a banner 1st half of his 3 y/o season before taking off a year to come back the next year at SAR for an abbreviated 4 y/o season. A solid if not so durable horse.

[b]2019 Owendale[/b]
From a projected historical perspective I would associate Owendale most closely with Cloud Computing. A horse who may run his best in a big race this weekend. Also with a m/l of 10/1 and a potential to get near 12/1 a must play for my superstitious friends.

Subjectively Owendale may take back vs a fast pace and pair up or even improve without losing much ground and consequently be a key contender. Or, he may attempt to go with the front runners? What effect would that have. Was the Lexington pace fast? or slowish?

Objectively he has had a lot of development, he's coming back off a new top without a lot of rest. Geroux and Cox are both capable as is the colt on paper. Will a muddy track increase bounce probability?

Regarding trainer Trombetta I just need to keep repeating his trainee this year Win Win Win has a chance, has a chance, has a chance, as if repetitive assertions have any bearing in the real world.