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Re: Belmont Derby - English Bee (864 Views)
Posted by: Tavasco (IP Logged)
Date: July 06, 2019 08:18AM

Looks to me like an interesting race. I'm contemplating if there is a good play. Probably, but what?

Five entrants are dubious to me.That's dubious good not dubious slow. As good as TG #'s are I have to believe that getting a good # for a US runner is easier than doing the same for a Euro.

But for me its all about finding an overlay. So if [b]English Bee[/b] stays anywhere near 30/1 he's on my $1 show bet action play. I'll add [b]Master Jester[/b] to my dubious herd.

All three Euros have a blemish of sorts. I'll have to do some research but [b]Cape Of Good hope[/b] went off @4/1 in a field of 13 in his last @ Ascot. I'm confident it wasn't the distance that gave him a problem. (not with Galileo on top) so I'll figure he had traffic problems. It will surprise me none of the three finish in the money.

Then there's [b]Spinoff[/b]? His Ky Derby was poor, was he one of the severely bothered horses in KY? I like the dam's turf influence. His price will probably float up. Dirt to turf is an unappreciated change. The owner/breeders may have had the lawn in mind all along and because he was so precocious he ended up on the TC trail. I'll take a chance most wouldn't and put him on top.

Brown's bevy do not impress me here. They'll all be overbet anyway so I won't use any of them.

Who does that leave? TAP's [b]Social Paranoia[/b] stretching to 1+1/4, forget about it! [b]Henley's Joy[/b]. As much as I like the style of shirt I dislike this Mike Maker trainee. The other U.S. horses can't beat the Brownies I'll leave them out and even Casse's jump up candidate [b]Moon Colony[/b] as much as I like him.

If I can get an exacta out of the dubious 5 I'll be....lucky, considering the numbers are all so close and a couple point move either way due to form or trip is reality. Here we are looking at a race which imo is gonna be close with a screaming finish.

7,9,10,11,14 ebx



Subject Written By Posted
Belmont Derby - English Bee (1160 Views) Silver Charm 07/05/2019 09:31PM
Re: Belmont Derby - English Bee (869 Views) vired 07/05/2019 09:57PM
Re: Belmont Derby - English Bee (864 Views) Tavasco 07/06/2019 08:18AM
Re: Belmont Derby - English Bee (766 Views) Mike C 07/06/2019 08:45AM
Re: Belmont Derby - English Bee (770 Views) Tavasco 07/06/2019 09:09AM
Re: Belmont Derby - English Bee (756 Views) milwmike 07/06/2019 12:31PM
Re: Belmont Derby - English Bee (690 Views) skitimber 07/06/2019 05:17PM
Re: Belmont Derby - English Bee (640 Views) Tavasco 07/06/2019 06:05PM
Re: Belmont Derby - English Bee (830 Views) bfick 07/06/2019 10:05AM
Re: Belmont Derby - English Bee (759 Views) Silver Charm 07/06/2019 10:56AM


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