Your Ask The Experts ID
is separate from your
Order Online Account ID
 Race of the Week:  2023 Breeders' Cup Days Final Figures Santa Anita 3-4 November 2023  • 1 Specials Available
Order Online
Buy TG Data
Complete Menu of
TG Data products
Simulcast Books
Customize a Value
Package of Select
TG Data
Sheet Requests
Order The Last Figure for Any Horse
Free Products
Redboard Room
Download and Review previous days' data.
Race of the Week
With detailed comments
ThoroTrack
Email notification when your horse races
Information
Introduction
For newcomers.
Samples and Tutorials
For Horsemen
Consulting services and Graph Racing
Sales Sites
Where to buy TG around the country
Archives
Historical races and handicapping articles
Handicapping
Hall of Fame
Major handicapping contest winners
Home Page
Woodbine Mile (1504 Views)
Posted by: grinder (IP Logged)
Date: September 13, 2019 07:16PM

Given the current weather forecast of significant rain tonight in the Toronto region, the turf course will probably have some give to the ground for tomorrow's turf races.

As GS will be carrying co-top weight in the race, even if she pairs her last effort, she could be vulnerable in here. Also, based on her race on a soft-turf course at Belmont last year, she may not like a less than firm course.

The dynamics of the one-turn mile may help RB, as he is slightly faster than GS at the weights and will only lose ground on one turn. However, he is a stone-cold closer, and his running style often results in less than ideal trips.

After looking at the race, I think that there are a few live long shots that could get a big piece of the race.

[b][u]El Tormenta (20-1)[/u][/b] - He has essentially paired the same number in his last four races at Woodbine. However, in his last race, he was bottled up inside on the backstretch and turn and then blocked and shut-off when he was making a move in the stretch. He made a belated close when clear late and galloped out well. Therefore, his last TG number is better than it appears. He should also save some ground in this race, as he has drawn inside and loves this course. I also like the rider switch to Da Silva.

[b][u]Awesometank (8-1[/u])[/b] Based on her assigned weight of 116 - her last TG number makes her almost as fast as the M/L favourites. However, she is coming off a top and could react, but is usable at double digit odds. She ran very game in the Beverly D and held on for a clear second to Sistercharlie. I also think she will like the turn-back to a flat mile and softer ground should not be a problem.
[b]
[u]Admiralty Pier (30-1[/u])-[/b] Drawn on the extreme outside, but could be cycling back to a big TG number he ran at Tampa in February.

Good Luck.



Subject Written By Posted
Woodbine Mile (1504 Views) grinder 09/13/2019 07:16PM
Re: Woodbine Mile (949 Views) Bet Twice 09/14/2019 12:22PM
Re: Woodbine Mile (984 Views) Socalman3 09/14/2019 01:08PM
Re: Woodbine Mile (758 Views) Bet Twice 09/14/2019 02:26PM
Re: Woodbine Mile (788 Views) Socalman3 09/14/2019 03:39PM
Re: Woodbine Mile (779 Views) Bet Twice 09/14/2019 06:25PM
Re: Woodbine Mile (815 Views) firmturf 09/16/2019 10:25AM
B and C (799 Views) skitimber 09/16/2019 08:12PM
Re: B and C (705 Views) firmturf 09/17/2019 09:40AM
Re: B and C (772 Views) johnnym 09/17/2019 10:06AM
Re: B and C (784 Views) firmturf 09/18/2019 10:29PM
Re: Woodbine Mile (808 Views) Bet Twice 09/14/2019 05:51PM


Sorry, only registered users may post in this forum.
This forum powered by Phorum.

Thoro-Graph 180 Varick Street New York, NY 10014 ---- Click here for the Ask The Experts Archives.