I looked back at the median pre-Derby TG tops for Derby fields since the point system was implemented:

2013: 2.0
2014: 1.75
2015: 1.375
2016: 2.875
2017: 2.5
2018: 1.375
2019: 2.25
2020: Not run in May
2021: ???

I obviously have not seen the figures for the last round of preps, but based on my guesses, I would not be surprised to see this year's median be 3 or above.

If so, are the slow figures the result of the Lasix ban? Or the disruption of the 2020 training schedule for 2yo's by the pandemic? Or smaller foal crops?

More importantly, will the slow figures going in make it more likely that horses will move forward on Derby day?