Re: The Jerry Brown Pick 3 (686 Views)
Posted by:
richiebee (IP Logged)
Date: May 01, 2021 09:16AM
As a public service announcement, the following are the horizontals available
in "increments" (JB's new favorite word) of four races and more:
R1 P5
R2 P4
R4 P5
R5 P4
R7 P6 (Gamine 1/5 ML in this race)
R8 P5
R9 P4
R10 P4
R11 P4
Wow.
I will select one of these horizontals to try to leverage the fact that I am
liking a colt at a bit of a price in race 10, the Churchill Downs Stakes at
7/8ths. I think TAP's BASIN has a decent chance to go off at ML of 8/1 or above
in this spot. He needs to produce a lifetime best to compete here and the T-
pattern is not overly favorable on this possibility (large sample). On the
other hand 2/2 at this distance and never out of the exacta in 5 one turn
races.
Because I am one of the posters on the board almost as old as Joe Biden (right
Heller?) I should really be a big Whitmore fan given his accomplishments at his
advanced age but I like him not a Whit spotting the entire field 5 pounds here.
Other thoughts:
Pat Day Mile: Like Defunded here for BB.
Derby: The runner that grew on me as week went on is Mandaloun, who was
progressing nicely before his odds on La. Derby stinker. Has not shown a TG
number fast enough to win this. Mandaloun's works on April 10 and April 17 say
he could be ready for something good today.
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