Re: The Jerry Brown Pick 3 (624 Views)
Posted by:
bfick (IP Logged)
Date: May 01, 2021 09:54AM
Tough sequence indeed.
8th- I think one of the two favs will run back to their top, which will take this. I'll be keying the 3&8 for this leg. Two horses who I think can jump up and make the exotics interesting are the 7&11. Take out the one route race and the 7 has a nice forward moving pattern. A new top probably doesn't take this, but he could sneak into the tri at double digits. Same with the 11. The turnback to one turn makes this one interesting at big odds.
9th- This is a headscratcher. Keying on the 1&5, as these are two of the faster ones who I have the most confidence in getting good trips. Will also use the 14 outside, as he has a nice pattern that should get him involved underneath if he can work out a trip.
10th- Despite having to use the old veteran Whitmore I will only do so defensively. For this race I'm looking to key the two 4 years olds, who both look like a new top could be coming today. Basin's comeback was good and a forward move looks very likely. Same with the 4 horse. Expecting the 2 to run a good one and his top puts him right in the mix.
Key P3 3,8/1,5/3,5
Backup 3,7,8,11/1,5/3,5
Backup 3,8/1,5,14/3,5
Backup 3,8/1,5/2,3,5,9,12
Good Luck!