Your Ask The Experts ID
is separate from your
Order Online Account ID
 Race of the Week:  2023 Breeders' Cup Days Final Figures Santa Anita 3-4 November 2023  • 1 Specials Available
Order Online
Buy TG Data
Complete Menu of
TG Data products
Simulcast Books
Customize a Value
Package of Select
TG Data
Sheet Requests
Order The Last Figure for Any Horse
Free Products
Redboard Room
Download and Review previous days' data.
Race of the Week
With detailed comments
ThoroTrack
Email notification when your horse races
Information
Introduction
For newcomers.
Samples and Tutorials
For Horsemen
Consulting services and Graph Racing
Sales Sites
Where to buy TG around the country
Archives
Historical races and handicapping articles
Handicapping
Hall of Fame
Major handicapping contest winners
Home Page
Druckenmiller: Make high conviction plays... (921 Views)
Posted by: JohnTChance (IP Logged)
Date: June 21, 2021 02:35PM

In a recent interview, top Wall Street investor Stanley Druckenmiller says: Make concentrated bets in high conviction plays. Don’t practice the business school teaching of diversification.

That’s great advice. A lesson I've often had to relearn. Especially this time of year as two-yr. olds come out [and we encounter those void boxes ahead from Jerry. Ugh.]. Why spread in a race “hoping something stupid happens” in fields full of unknowns WHEN YOU KNOW Mike Maker is going to win a turfer at 4-1, like he did yesterday? It’s stunning the money we waste betting races we shouldn’t.

Druckenmiller quoted below:

“When I’ve looked at all the investors (that) have very large reputations — Warren Buffett, Carl Icahn, George Soros — they all only have one thing in common. And it’s the exact opposite of what they teach in a business school. It is to make large concentrated bets where they have a lot of conviction. They’re not buying 35 or 40 names and diversifying.

I don’t know whether you remember that Icahn a few years ago put $5B into Apple. I don’t think he was worth more than $10B when he did that. [In 1992] when I went in to tell Soros that I was going to short a 100% of the fund in the British pound against the Deutschmark, he looked at me with great disdain. He thought the story was good enough that I should be doing 200%, because it was sort of a once-in-a-generation opportunity. So, [these investors] concentrate their holdings. This is very counterintuitive. In my thinking, [concentrating your bets] decreases your overall risk because where you tend to be in trouble is if you have 35 or 40 names. If you start paying attention to one. If you have a big massive position, it has your attention
 
My favorite quote of all time is maybe Mark Twain: “Put all your eggs in one basket and watch the basket carefully.” I tend to think that’s what great investors do.”



Subject Written By Posted
Druckenmiller: Make high conviction plays... (921 Views) JohnTChance 06/21/2021 02:35PM
Re: Druckenmiller: Make high conviction plays... (728 Views) hellersorr 06/21/2021 05:11PM
Re: Druckenmiller: Make high conviction plays... (731 Views) HP 06/21/2021 05:26PM
Re: Druckenmiller: Make high conviction plays... (672 Views) johnnym 06/21/2021 09:26PM
Re: Druckenmiller: Make high conviction plays... (626 Views) belmont3 06/22/2021 09:05AM
Re: Druckenmiller: Make high conviction plays... (469 Views) JohnTChance 06/24/2021 11:50AM
Re: Druckenmiller: Make high conviction plays... (557 Views) Strike 06/22/2021 11:48AM
Re: Druckenmiller: Make high conviction plays... (495 Views) Roman 06/22/2021 09:40PM
Re: Druckenmiller: Make high conviction plays... (565 Views) JimP 06/22/2021 04:36PM
Re: Druckenmiller: Make high conviction plays... (507 Views) billk5300s 06/23/2021 04:33PM
Re: Druckenmiller: Make high conviction plays... (503 Views) Boscar Obarra 06/23/2021 04:56PM
Re: Druckenmiller: Make high conviction plays... (492 Views) johnnym 06/23/2021 07:06PM
Re: Druckenmiller: Make high conviction plays... (497 Views) jerry 06/23/2021 11:16PM
Re: Druckenmiller: Make high conviction plays... (500 Views) Boscar Obarra 06/24/2021 02:41PM
Re: Druckenmiller: Make high conviction plays... (427 Views) jerry 06/25/2021 11:20PM


Sorry, only registered users may post in this forum.
This forum powered by Phorum.

Thoro-Graph 180 Varick Street New York, NY 10014 ---- Click here for the Ask The Experts Archives.