Re: F/M Turf (551 Views)
Posted by:
Tavasco (IP Logged)
Date: November 03, 2021 09:17PM
IMO, Pace in this turf race is only occasionally a factor. Remembering it is the Jockey who usually controls the trip and consequently the pace.
Leparoux is familiar with [b]War Like Goddess[/b]. We have to expect him to get the timing right.
Only a very special horse or poor judgment on everybody else's part is going to allow a competitor to run off and steal a race on the turf at this distance. When trainer Appleby's two horses ran off and destroyed a nice bunch of turf horses earlier this year (Spring @ KEE ??) folks didn't know how good they were. When they did it again well LOL
A couple of U.S. horses may lead the others for a mile they might even separate some but the race will be in the final quarter-mile and who can maintain momentum.
The issue for me is the Euro's and even dare I say the Japanese horse. IMO. That group is a cut above U.S. based turf horses even Chad Browns.
I expect one of the Euro's, probably the French mares Andarya or Rougir the (Prix de Opera winners have performed well in recent years) if I'm not mistaken. I would be concerned if Frenchie languishes at the back too far behind others who have withering late kicks also.
But I will need to hear from my Euro Advisor Templeton Peck and our only Scandanavian poster Pete before settling on a favorite.
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